Hillary Clinton Has Never Been the Underdog.

Here’s a reminder of how things were before Clinton’s campaign lost the plot—because that is precisely what they did. They overspent and underplanned because they assumed Clinton would walk right into the nomination. And it worked until February, 2008: excepting for a tie in April 2007, Clinton led Obama in all national polls until early February.

Remember that Iowa’s caucus was held on 3 January, 2008. Note how Clinton’s support fell off following Super Tuesday, and remember that Clinton’s plan didn’t extend beyond Super Tuesday.

Democratic Presidential Nomination (from Real Clear Politics)

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Obama	Clinton	Spread
CBS News/NY Times	01/30 - 02/02	491 LV	41	41	Tie
USA Today/Gallup	01/30 - 02/02	985 LV	44	45	Clinton +1.0
Pew Research	01/30 - 02/02	596 RV	38	46	Clinton +8.0
ABC/Wash Post	01/30 - 02/01	LV	43	47	Clinton +4.0
Rasmussen	01/29 - 02/01	900 LV	37	45	Clinton +8.0
FOX News	01/30 - 01/31	377 LV	37	47	Clinton +10.0
NBC/WSJ	01/20 - 01/22	Adults	32	47	Clinton +15.0
LA Times/Bloomberg	01/18 - 01/22	532 LV	33	42	Clinton +9.0
Rasmussen	01/16 - 01/19	900 LV	34	38	Clinton +4.0
AP-Ipsos	01/15 - 01/17	453 RV	33	40	Clinton +7.0
CNN	01/14 - 01/17	448 RV	33	42	Clinton +9.0
Reuters/Zogby	01/11 - 01/13	459 LV	38	39	Clinton +1.0
USA Today/Gallup	01/11 - 01/13	1021 LV	33	45	Clinton +12.0
Pew Research	01/09 - 01/13	621 RV	31	46	Clinton +15.0
Hotline/FD	01/10 - 01/12	380 LV	35	38	Clinton +3.0
ABC/Wash Post	01/09 - 01/12	423 LV	37	42	Clinton +5.0
CBS News/NY Times	01/09 - 01/12	508 LV	27	42	Clinton +15.0
CNN	01/09 - 01/10	443 RV	36	49	Clinton +13.0
USA Today/Gallup	01/04 - 01/06	499 A	33	33	Tie
Rasmussen	01/03 - 01/06	900 LV	29	33	Clinton +4.0
Pew Research	12/19 - 12/30	556 RV	26	46	Clinton +20.0
FOX News	12/18 - 12/19	RV	20	49	Clinton +29.0
Cook/RT Strategies	12/15 - 12/17	RV	26	38	Clinton +12.0
NBC/WSJ	12/14 - 12/17	Adults	23	45	Clinton +22.0
USA Today/Gallup	12/14 - 12/16	513 A	27	45	Clinton +18.0
Rasmussen	12/13 - 12/16	750 LV	27	40	Clinton +13.0
Reuters/Zogby	12/12 - 12/14	436 LV	32	40	Clinton +8.0
Hotline/FD	12/10 - 12/14	336 LV	30	35	Clinton +5.0
Battleground	12/09 - 12/12	LV	23	47	Clinton +24.0
ARG	12/09 - 12/12	600 LV	22	41	Clinton +19.0
CNN	12/06 - 12/09	RV	30	40	Clinton +10.0
CBS News/NY Times	12/05 - 12/09	417 LV	27	44	Clinton +17.0
AP-Ipsos	12/03 - 12/05	469 RV	23	45	Clinton +22.0
LA Times/Bloomberg	11/30 - 12/03	529 LV	21	45	Clinton +24.0
USA Today/Gallup	11/30 - 12/02	494 A	24	39	Clinton +15.0
Rasmussen	11/28 - 12/01	750 LV	24	37	Clinton +13.0
AP-Pew	11/20 - 11/26	467 LV	22	48	Clinton +26.0
Rasmussen	11/15 - 11/18	750 LV	24	41	Clinton +17.0
Reuters/Zogby	11/14 - 11/17	545 LV	27	38	Clinton +11.0
FOX News	11/13 - 11/14	397 RV	23	44	Clinton +21.0
Gallup	11/11 - 11/14	485 A	21	48	Clinton +27.0
American Res. Group	11/09 - 11/12	600 LV	21	46	Clinton +25.0
Cook/RT Strategies	11/08 - 11/11	376 RV	22	39	Clinton +17.0
AP-Ipsos	11/05 - 11/07	474 RV	22	45	Clinton +23.0
NBC/WSJ	11/01 - 11/05	Adults	25	47	Clinton +22.0
USA Today/Gallup	11/02 - 11/04	508 RV	22	50	Clinton +28.0
CNN	11/02 - 11/04	467 RV	25	44	Clinton +19.0
Rasmussen	11/01 - 11/04	750 LV	22	41	Clinton +19.0
Newsweek	10/31 - 11/01	433 RV	24	43	Clinton +19.0
Marist	10/29 - 11/01	385 RV	17	48	Clinton +31.0
ABC/Wash Post	10/29 - 11/01	598 A	26	49	Clinton +23.0
Quinnipiac	10/23 - 10/29	742 RV	21	47	Clinton +26.0
Zogby	10/24 - 10/27	527 LV	24	38	Clinton +14.0
FOX News	10/23 - 10/24	329 RV	25	42	Clinton +17.0
Pew Research	10/17 - 10/23	837 RV	24	45	Clinton +21.0
LA Times/Bloomberg	10/19 - 10/22	469 LV	17	48	Clinton +31.0
Rasmussen	10/18 - 10/21	750 LV	22	49	Clinton +27.0
CBS News*	10/12 - 10/16	456 RV	23	51	Clinton +28.0
CNN	10/12 - 10/14	485 RV	21	51	Clinton +30.0
USA Today/Gallup	10/12 - 10/14	500 A	21	50	Clinton +29.0
Reuters/Zogby	10/10 - 10/14	426 LV	25	46	Clinton +21.0
American Res. Group	10/09 - 10/12	600 LV	20	45	Clinton +25.0
FOX News	10/09 - 10/10	377 LV	18	50	Clinton +32.0
Gallup	10/04 - 10/07	488 A	26	47	Clinton +21.0
Rasmussen	10/04 - 10/07	750 LV	26	42	Clinton +16.0
AP-Ipsos	10/01 - 10/03	482 A	25	46	Clinton +21.0
ABC News/Wash Post	09/27 - 09/30	592 A	20	53	Clinton +33.0
AP-Ipsos	09/21 - 09/25	631 A	26	40	Clinton +14.0
Rasmussen	09/20 - 09/23	750 LV	28	40	Clinton +12.0
Gallup	09/14 - 09/16	531 A	25	47	Clinton +22.0
CBS News*	09/14 - 09/16	Adults	22	43	Clinton +21.0
Reuters/Zogby	09/13 - 09/16	LV	21	35	Clinton +14.0
Pew Research	09/12 - 09/16	568 RV	25	42	Clinton +17.0
Cook/RT Strategies	09/13 - 09/15	405 RV	23	36	Clinton +13.0
FOX News	09/11 - 09/12	396 RV	24	43	Clinton +19.0
AP-Ipsos	09/10 - 09/12	482 RV	23	43	Clinton +20.0
American Res. Group	09/09 - 09/12	600 LV	21	39	Clinton +18.0
NBC/WSJ	09/07 - 09/10	Adults	23	44	Clinton +21.0
CNN	09/07 - 09/09	Adults	23	46	Clinton +23.0
NYT/CBS News*	09/04 - 09/09	Adults	26	44	Clinton +18.0
USA Today/Gallup	09/07 - 09/08	500 LV	24	45	Clinton +21.0
Rasmussen	09/05 - 09/08	750 LV	22	43	Clinton +21.0
ABC News/Wash Post	09/04 - 09/07	Adults	27	41	Clinton +14.0
Rasmussen	08/23 - 08/26	750 LV	21	40	Clinton +19.0
FOX News	08/21 - 08/22	335 LV	23	35	Clinton +12.0
Gallup	08/13 - 08/16	Adults	21	42	Clinton +21.0
Quinnipiac	08/07 - 08/13	717 LV	21	36	Clinton +15.0
American Res. Group	08/09 - 08/12	600 LV	21	36	Clinton +15.0
Rasmussen	08/09 - 08/12	750 LV	23	43	Clinton +20.0
CBS News*	08/08 - 08/12	492 LV	25	45	Clinton +20.0
CNN	08/06 - 08/07	RV	21	40	Clinton +19.0
USA Today/Gallup	08/03 - 08/05	490 A	19	42	Clinton +23.0
Cook/RT Strategies	08/02 - 08/05	376 RV	21	39	Clinton +18.0
Newsweek	08/01 - 08/01	422 RV	23	44	Clinton +21.0
NBC/WSJ	07/27 - 07/30	481 A	22	43	Clinton +21.0
Rasmussen	07/26 - 07/29	750 LV	24	40	Clinton +16.0
Pew Research	07/25 - 07/29	623 RV	21	40	Clinton +19.0
Hotline/FD	07/19 - 07/22	RV	30	39	Clinton +9.0
ABC News/Wash Post	07/18 - 07/21	Adults	28	39	Clinton +11.0
FOX News	07/17 - 07/18	RV	23	39	Clinton +16.0
CBS News/NY Times*	07/09 - 07/17	LV	24	43	Clinton +19.0
Gallup	07/12 - 07/15	483 A	25	34	Clinton +9.0
Rasmussen	07/09 - 07/15	1300 LV	25	38	Clinton +13.0
Zogby	07/12 - 07/14	396 LV	25	37	Clinton +12.0
American Res. Group	07/09 - 07/12	600 LV	25	38	Clinton +13.0
AP-Ipsos	07/09 - 07/11	Adults	20	36	Clinton +16.0
USA Today/Gallup	07/06 - 07/08	516 RV	21	37	Clinton +16.0
CBS News/NY Times*	06/26 - 06/28	336 LV	24	48	Clinton +24.0
Rasmussen	06/25 - 06/28	769 LV	26	39	Clinton +13.0
FOX News	06/26 - 06/27	RV	19	42	Clinton +23.0
CNN	06/22 - 06/24	450 RV	23	35	Clinton +12.0
Cook/RT Strategies	06/21 - 06/23	378 RV	22	32	Clinton +10.0
Newsweek	06/20 - 06/21	422 RV	27	43	Clinton +16.0
Rasmussen	06/18 - 06/21	763 LV	25	37	Clinton +12.0
Cook/RT Strategies	06/15 - 06/17	380 RV	20	30	Clinton +10.0
Rasmussen	06/11 - 06/14	775 LV	27	38	Clinton +11.0
USA Today/Gallup	06/11 - 06/14	1007 A	21	33	Clinton +12.0
American Res. Group	06/09 - 06/12	600 LV	19	39	Clinton +20.0
NBC/WSJ	06/08 - 06/11	Adults	25	39	Clinton +14.0
Quinnipiac	06/05 - 06/11	789 LV	21	35	Clinton +14.0
LA Times/Bloomberg	06/07 - 06/10	449 LV	22	33	Clinton +11.0
Rasmussen	06/04 - 06/07	773 LV	25	37	Clinton +12.0
FOX News	06/05 - 06/06	RV	23	36	Clinton +13.0
AP-Ipsos	06/04 - 06/06	541 LV	21	33	Clinton +12.0
USA Today/Gallup	06/01 - 06/03	470 LV	30	29	Obama +1.0
ABC News/Wash Post	05/29 - 06/01	1205 Adults	23	35	Clinton +12.0
Rasmussen	05/29 - 05/31	738 LV	26	34	Clinton +8.0
Rasmussen	05/21 - 05/23	559 LV	26	35	Clinton +9.0
NYT/CBS News*	05/18 - 05/23	441 LV	24	46	Clinton +22.0
Zogby	05/17 - 05/20	411 RV	24	39	Clinton +15.0
Hotline/FD	05/16 - 05/20	261 LV	21	31	Clinton +10.0
Rasmussen	05/14 - 05/17	788 LV	25	35	Clinton +10.0
FOX News	05/15 - 05/16	900 RV	20	35	Clinton +15.0
Cook/RT Strategies	05/11 - 05/13	402 RV	24	32	Clinton +8.0
Gallup	05/10 - 05/13	489 LV	26	35	Clinton +9.0
American Res. Group	05/09 - 05/12	600 LV	22	39	Clinton +17.0
Rasmussen	05/07 - 05/10	789 LV	33	35	Clinton +2.0
USA Today/Gallup	05/04 - 05/06	491 RV	23	38	Clinton +15.0
CNN/Opinion Research	05/04 - 05/06	454 RV	24	38	Clinton +14.0
Rasmussen	04/30 - 05/03	760 LV	26	34	Clinton +8.0
Marist	04/26 - 05/01	392 RV	17	35	Clinton +18.0
Quinnipiac	04/25 - 05/01	499 RV	18	32	Clinton +14.0
Cook/RT Strategies	04/27 - 04/30	389 RV	24	32	Clinton +8.0
Rasmussen	04/23 - 04/26	765 LV	32	30	Obama +2.0
NBC/WSJ	04/20 - 04/23	Adults	31	36	Clinton +5.0
Pew Research	04/18 - 04/22	574 RV	24	34	Clinton +10.0
Rasmussen	04/16 - 04/19	579 LV	32	32	Tie
FOX News	04/17 - 04/18	RV	20	41	Clinton +21.0
USA Today/Gallup	04/13 - 04/15	504 RV	26	31	Clinton +5.0
ABC News/Wash Post	04/12 - 04/15	Adults	20	37	Clinton +17.0
CNN	04/10 - 04/12	RV	26	30	Clinton +4.0
Rasmussen	04/09 - 04/12	774 LV	30	32	Clinton +2.0
CBS News*	04/09 - 04/12	392 RV	24	39	Clinton +15.0
American Res. Group	04/09 - 04/12	600 LV	24	36	Clinton +12.0
Time	04/05 - 04/09	493 RV	26	33	Clinton +7.0
LA Times/Bloomberg	04/05 - 04/09	557 RV	23	33	Clinton +10.0
Gallup	04/02 - 04/05	491 A	19	38	Clinton +19.0
Rasmussen	04/02 - 04/05	774 LV	29	34	Clinton +5.0
Cook/RT Strategies	03/29 - 04/01	355 RV	17	41	Clinton +24.0
Rasmussen	03/26 - 03/29	799 LV	26	33	Clinton +7.0
FOX News	03/27 - 03/28	RV	18	36	Clinton +18.0
Time	03/23 - 03/26	511 RV	24	31	Clinton +7.0
Zogby	03/22 - 03/26	432 LV	22	32	Clinton +10.0
USA Today/Gallup	03/23 - 03/25	493 A	22	35	Clinton +13.0
Pew Research	03/21 - 03/25	614 RV	26	35	Clinton +9.0
Rasmussen	03/19 - 03/22	757 LV	25	37	Clinton +12.0
Rasmussen	03/12 - 03/15	790 LV	30	35	Clinton +5.0
Time	03/09 - 03/12	682 RV	26	34	Clinton +8.0
CNN	03/09 - 03/11	447 RV	22	37	Clinton +15.0
Rasmussen	03/05 - 03/08	783 LV	26	38	Clinton +12.0
AP-Ipsos	03/05 - 03/07	RV	21	38	Clinton +17.0
American Res. Group	03/02 - 03/05	600 LV	31	34	Clinton +3.0
NBC/WSJ	03/02 - 03/05	Adults	28	40	Clinton +12.0
USA Today/Gallup	03/02 - 03/04	482 A	22	36	Clinton +14.0
Rasmussen	02/26 - 03/01	769 LV	26	34	Clinton +8.0
FOX News	02/27 - 02/28	RV	23	34	Clinton +11.0
Time	02/23 - 02/26	RV	24	36	Clinton +12.0
ABC News/Wash Post	02/22 - 02/25	Adults	24	36	Clinton +12.0
Zogby	02/22 - 02/24	LV	25	33	Clinton +8.0
Rasmussen	02/19 - 02/22	568 LV	26	37	Clinton +11.0
Quinnipiac	02/13 - 02/19	684 RV	23	38	Clinton +15.0
Cook/RT Strategies	02/15 - 02/18	390 RV	20	42	Clinton +22.0
Marist	02/12 - 02/15	471 RV	17	37	Clinton +20.0
USA Today/Gallup	02/09 - 02/11	495 A	21	40	Clinton +19.0
Siena	02/06 - 02/09	RV	12	45	Clinton +33.0
Rasmussen	02/05 - 02/08	435 LV	23	28	Clinton +5.0
Rasmussen	01/29 - 02/03	448 LV	18	34	Clinton +16.0
FOX News	01/30 - 01/31	RV	15	43	Clinton +28.0
Rasmussen	01/22 - 01/25	435 LV	19	33	Clinton +14.0
Time	01/22 - 01/23	480 RV	21	40	Clinton +19.0
CNN	01/19 - 01/21	467 RV	18	34	Clinton +16.0
ABC News/Wash Post	01/16 - 01/19	561 A	17	41	Clinton +24.0
Rasmussen	01/15 - 01/18	386 LV	24	31	Clinton +7.0
Gallup	01/12 - 01/14	1003 A	18	29	Clinton +11.0
Rasmussen	01/08 - 01/11	401 LV	21	22	Clinton +1.0
Zogby	01/05 - 01/09	339 LV	14	29	Clinton +15.0
Gallup	12/11 - 12/14	511 A	20	33	Clinton +13.0
NBC/WSJ	12/08 - 12/11	1006 A	18	37	Clinton +19.0
ABC News/Wash Post	12/07 - 12/11	1005 A	17	39	Clinton +22.0
CNN	12/05 - 12/07	612 RV	15	37	Clinton +22.0
FOX News	12/05 - 12/06	900 RV	12	33	Clinton +21.0
Marist	11/27 - 12/03	RV	12	33	Clinton +21.0
CNN	11/17 - 11/19	RV	15	33	Clinton +18.0
Gallup	11/09 - 11/12	A	19	31	Clinton +12.0
Pew Research	11/09 - 11/12	RV	23	39	Clinton +16.0
Cook/RT Strategies	11/09 - 11/12	RV	20	34	Clinton +14.0
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	11/07 - 11/07	LV	21	27	Clinton +6.0
CNN	10/27 - 10/29	RV	17	28	Clinton +11.0